IN a report issued last week, the Bureau Of Meteorology say it is now likely (estimated at a greater than 70 per cent chance) that an El Niño will develop during the southern hemisphere winter.
The report also said that although the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral, surface and sub-surface ocean temperatures have warmed considerably in recent weeks, consistent with a state of rapid transition. International climate models surveyed by the Bureau indicate continued warming of the central Pacific Ocean in coming months. Most models predict sea surface temperatures will reach El Niño thresholds during the coming winter season.
Full story in The Spectator on Friday, April 18, 2014, or subscribe to our epaper at top of page.